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Jocky
11th December 2006, 10:20 AM
I watched with interest the first in a new series of documentaries on the BBC last night, which aims to take a critical look at conspiracy theories.

The subject matter was the tragic death of Diana Princess of Wales in 1997, which looks set to take over from JFK as the most whispered-about celebrity death in history. The programme featured interviews both with prominent conspiracy theorists and also with numerous professionals (doctors, police officers and forensic scientists) who were involved in the investigations. This is of course very timely with the imminent publication of Lord Steven's (hopefully) definitive report.

The 'evidence' offered by conspiracy theorists was (on the whole) efficiently debunked, although it became apparent that there are enough points of mystery about the details of what happened that there will always be room for wild speculation from people who are that way inclined. In particular, the fact that the driver of the other car involved was never conclusively identified, and that Henri Paul's movements in the hours leading up to the crash are not known, leave ample room for elaborate fabrications to be spun.

As ever with conspiracy theories, the gaping hole in the heart of them is HOW DO 'THEY' DO IT? How on earth could 'they' hold together a lie on the scale required to conceal an assassination, which would involve the compliance of hundreds of professionals in different organisations over many years? In truth of course, 'they' couldn't do it.

In order to get round such difficulties, conspiracy theorists resort to extraordinary claims (you know, the ones which require extraordinary evidence). Mohamed Al Fayed's fanciful notion that Price Philip can pick up the phone to MI5 and order them to kill people he doesn't like falls well and truly into that category - best laugh of the night ;D

IMO the real resolution of the mystery requires no more than the application of Occam's Razor. There is no need to invent complex and speculative explanations when simple and realistic ones which are consistent with the evidence already exist. In this case, the explanation is glaringly obvious - and I am a former Police Collision Analyst, when it comes to road safety I know whereof I speak.

Drunk drivers racing through narrow tunnels at high speed, in darkness, when nobody in the car is wearing a seat belt, is a recipe for death. There is nothing at all exotic about this - here in the UK (where we have the safest roads in the world) it happens on average at least once every single day. That is not an exaggeration, it is the literal truth (http://www.thinkroadsafety.gov.uk/statistics/dd0510.htm) :'(

Diana's death is in fact sadly unremarkable - but this sadness is compounded by the likelihood that three really important lessons which could be learnt from Lord Steven's report (Don't Drink And Drive, Always Wear A Seat Belt, Stick To The Speed Limit) will most probably be lost in a farrago of nonsense about spy rings, flashing lights and cover-ups. Sadly road safety is just too prosaic - some people seem to prefer wallowing in fanciful paranoia rather than facing up to boring and uncomfortable reality.

Dr B
11th December 2006, 12:07 PM
I am also reminded of James Dean and Bruce lee here in terms of untimely deaths that generated much speculation.

Being famous does not make you invincible....

Jocky
11th December 2006, 12:28 PM
James Dean was of course another high profile victim of a fatal car crash - although in his case it was probably precipitated by poor observation on the part of another driver, rather than alcohol or excessive speed. Sadly, this was in the days before seat belts :(

Admin
12th December 2006, 01:19 AM
There are many crackpots who go along with these conspiracy theories, but as far as the general public is concerned, I think there's an assumption that (perceived) extraordinary people, like Diana, cannot have ordinary things happen to them.

i.e. an extraordinary person cannot have an ordinary death - Diana could not have died as the result of an accident: it must have been murder.

I saw the programme, but with many distractions. I did notice, however, that the conspiracy theorists were frequently described as 'skeptics'. >:(

chillzero
12th December 2006, 02:35 PM
James Dean was of course another high profile victim of a fatal car crash - although in his case it was probably precipitated by poor observation on the part of another driver, rather than alcohol or excessive speed. Sadly, this was in the days before seat belts :(


Well, it was James Dean's speed that caused the crash - he didn't slow as he approached the junction. However, at the last second he hit the brakes, making the other driver 'technically' responsible.

Some people found it suspicious merely because he had just filmed an anti-speeding campaign ad that morning. Those who knew him knew that he drove fast, and with a belief he would die young anyway (therefore, less carefully).

Melanie
12th December 2006, 04:38 PM
James Dean's death also spawned a great urban myth about the car being jinxed, or haunted by Dean's ghost - see this!

http://www.warphead.com/modules/news/article.php?storyid=556

I knew I'd heard this story somewhere and it only took a moment of websearching to find it. Isn't Google wonderful.

Jocky
13th December 2006, 01:42 PM
James Dean was of course another high profile victim of a fatal car crash - although in his case it was probably precipitated by poor observation on the part of another driver, rather than alcohol or excessive speed. Sadly, this was in the days before seat belts :(

Well, it was James Dean's speed that caused the crash - he didn't slow as he approached the junction. However, at the last second he hit the brakes, making the other driver 'technically' responsible.

IIUC (willing to be corrected if I have got the facts wrong :) ), Dean's vehicle was on the main carriageway with right of way, and the other vehicle was turning across his path onto a minor road. As you say, this type of situation is technically assumed to be the responsibility of the turning driver, unless it can be clearly shown that the conduct of the driver with right of way made it impossible for the maneouvre to be executed safely - and that is difficult to prove even with modern investigative techniques.

I used the word 'precipitated' advisedly - that does not necessarily indicate total fault, merely which vehicle is presumed to have brought the collision situation to pass. James Dean's crash was precipitated by the turn maneouvre, with excessive speed on his part a possible (but unproven) contributory factor. It was a different type of crash to the one which cost Diana and Dodi their lives - that one was precipitated by Henri Paul losing control of the car, with both alcohol and speed as proven contributory factors and (possibly) the behaviour of the other unidentified driver being another.

Nettles
13th December 2006, 10:32 PM
i.e. an extraordinary person cannot have an ordinary death - Diana could not have died as the result of an accident: it must have been murder.


Only a celebrity can kill a celebrity. More broadly, only a celebrity can affect the life of a celebrity. It's part of the cult. If celebrities really are just like you an' me -- no more extraordinary than any other miracle of individuality and complexity -- then the whole cult of celebrity is revealed as a sham.

The death and autopsy of Bobby Kennedy was an interesting counterpoint. Everything was exhaustively documented and strictly managed, we know everything about how Sirhan Sirhan killed him and everything about how he died. I expect this retroactively stripped Bobby Kennedy of his celebrity status.

Well, it's a theory.